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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | No | 1.8K | $0.783 | $1.63K | +$228.63 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes | buy | 21.05 | $0.570 | $12 | Jun 26, 2026 |
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| No |
| 690.95 |
| $0.191 |
| $549.3 |
| +$417.3 |
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? | No | 492.4 | $0.812 | $462.86 | +$62.86 |
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | No | 256.41 | $0.780 | $241.03 | +$41.03 |
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 161.18 | $0.660 | $76.56 | -$29.82 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | Yes | 63.29 | $0.790 | $60.44 | +$10.44 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 368.58 | $0.190 | $53.26 | -$16.77 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 45.45 | $0.660 | $35.91 | +$5.91 |
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 | No | 41.65 | $0.460 | $34.15 | +$14.99 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | Yes | 21.05 | $0.570 | $18.95 | +$6.95 |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 37.04 | $0.540 | $18.61 | -$1.39 |
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? | Yes | 20 | $0.500 | $17.29 | +$7.29 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 142.86 | $0.140 | $10.21 | -$9.79 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 40 | $0.250 | $2.6 | -$7.4 |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 16.13 | $0.310 | $2.02 | -$2.98 |
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1.37 | +$0.37 |
| buy |
| 63.29 |
| $0.790 |
| $50 |
| Jun 26, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | sell | 202.3 | $0.134 | $27.02 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 202.3 | $0.148 | $30 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31No | buy | 41.65 | $0.460 | $19.16 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 166.67 | $0.120 | $20 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 108.7 | $0.460 | $50 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 131.15 | $0.349 | $45.8 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 118.24 | $0.169 | $20 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 135.8 | $0.810 | $110 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 60 | $0.500 | $30 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 56.18 | $0.089 | $5 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 172.41 | $0.087 | $15 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 141.51 | $0.106 | $15 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 62.11 | $0.161 | $10 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 319.14 | $0.981 | $313.08 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 134.62 | $0.260 | $35 | Jun 8, 2026 |
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 638.3 | $0.940 | $600 | Jun 5, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No | buy | 44.12 | $0.340 | $15 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.270 | $27 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 352.94 | $0.850 | $300 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | sell | 339.34 | $0.053 | $17.99 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 135.14 | $0.370 | $50 | May 29, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 231.82 | $0.431 | $100 | May 23, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 69.24 | $0.289 | $20 | May 23, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | May 23, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 149.25 | $0.530 | $79.1 | May 23, 2026 |
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.69K | $0.005 | $8.57 | May 15, 2026 |
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.62K | $0.006 | $10 | May 15, 2026 |
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 64.52 | $0.310 | $20 | May 13, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 222.22 | $0.900 | $200 | May 12, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 149.25 | $0.670 | $100 | May 12, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 90.91 | $0.550 | $50 | May 12, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | May 12, 2026 |
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 64.1 | $0.312 | $20 | May 12, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 256.41 | $0.390 | $100 | May 7, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 156.25 | $0.640 | $100 | May 7, 2026 |
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 67.39 | $0.092 | $6.2 | May 7, 2026 |
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 108.7 | $0.092 | $10 | May 7, 2026 |
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 108.7 | $0.092 | $10 | May 7, 2026 |
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 54.57 | $0.092 | $5 | May 7, 2026 |
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?No | buy | 273.97 | $0.730 | $200 | May 5, 2026 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 214.36 | $0.933 | $200 | May 5, 2026 |
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?No | buy | 256.41 | $0.780 | $200 | May 5, 2026 |
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 112.36 | $0.890 | $100 | May 5, 2026 |