Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 443.26 | $0.429 | $239.36 | +$49.36 |
 Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Genta Koja win the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial election?Yes | buy | 139.63 | $0.700 | $97.74 | 10h ago |
 |
| No |
| 752.11 |
| $0.309 |
| $229.39 |
| -$2.86 |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | No | 197.81 | $0.494 | $145.39 | +$47.63 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | Yes | 230 | $0.428 | $128.8 | +$30.23 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Yes | 901.86 | $0.316 | $121.75 | -$163.67 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 3.1K | $0.210 | $119.26 | -$531.26 |
 Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? | No | 122.8 | $0.400 | $95.17 | +$46.05 |
| Will Genta Koja win the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial election? | Yes | 139.63 | $0.700 | $94.25 | -$3.49 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 200 | $0.490 | $93 | -$5 |
 Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? | Yes | 969.22 | $0.209 | $82.38 | -$120.61 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 94.34 | $0.530 | $73.11 | +$23.11 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 343.48 | $0.230 | $70.41 | -$8.59 |
| Will Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? | Yes | 458.34 | $0.147 | $68.52 | +$1.25 |
 Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | Yes | 773.81 | $0.129 | $64.23 | -$35.77 |
 Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? | Yes | 222.05 | $0.445 | $49.96 | -$48.93 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 310 | $0.306 | $44.95 | -$50.05 |
 Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? | Yes | 420.76 | $0.235 | $44.18 | -$54.72 |
 Will USD/JPY hit 170 (High) in 2026? | Yes | 290.38 | $0.349 | $43.56 | -$57.93 |
| Will USD/JPY hit 175 (High) in 2026? | Yes | 371.28 | $0.322 | $40.84 | -$78.85 |
| Will USD/JPY hit 180 (High) in 2026? | Yes | 468.08 | $0.192 | $28.08 | -$61.91 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | No | 79.99 | $0.360 | $28 | -$0.8 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 300.01 | $0.290 | $27 | -$60 |
 Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? | Yes | 379.22 | $0.398 | $24.65 | -$126.2 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison? | Yes | 250 | $0.100 | $23.13 | -$1.88 |
 Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 474.24 | $0.331 | $21.34 | -$135.66 |
| sell |
| 47.1 |
| $0.306 |
| $14.41 |
| 10h ago |
| Will Genta Koja win the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial election?No | sell | 40 | $0.300 | $12 | 10h ago |
| Will Denny Tamaki win the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial election?Yes | buy | 47.1 | $0.330 | $15.54 | 10h ago |
| Will Genta Koja win the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial election?No | buy | 40 | $0.330 | $13.2 | 10h ago |
| Will Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?Yes | buy | 7.85 | $0.030 | $0.24 | 11h ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 200 | $0.490 | $98 | 5d ago |
 Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.520 | $10 | 13d ago |
 Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | 16d ago |
| Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.008 | $2 | 18d ago |
 Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes | buy | 402.6 | $0.050 | $20 | 18d ago |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | buy | 220 | $0.430 | $94.52 | 18d ago |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.405 | $4.05 | 18d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.360 | $18 | 20d ago |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.230 | $69 | 20d ago |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 422.17 | $0.630 | $265.97 | 20d ago |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 526.66 | $0.820 | $431.86 | 20d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 29.99 | $0.360 | $10.8 | 20d ago |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by August 31?Yes | buy | 95.9 | $0.031 | $3 | 20d ago |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | 20d ago |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by August 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.028 | $0.28 | 20d ago |
 Will any Moroccan city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.160 | $1.6 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?No | sell | 8.47 | $0.210 | $1.78 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.080 | $4.8 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.008 | $0.64 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.090 | $0.45 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?Yes | buy | 65 | $0.006 | $0.39 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 376.19 | $0.210 | $79 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 614.9 | $0.038 | $23.5 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.090 | $2.7 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 136.36 | $0.058 | $7.91 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?Yes | buy | 39.65 | $0.005 | $0.2 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 45.45 | $0.026 | $1.18 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.001 | $0.5 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 750 | $0.003 | $2.25 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 136.36 | $0.022 | $3 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?No | buy | 8.47 | $0.118 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?Yes | buy | 22.86 | $0.044 | $1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 236.36 | $0.055 | $13 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.035 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 114.04 | $0.057 | $6.5 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.022 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.040 | $2 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?Yes | buy | 145 | $0.110 | $15.95 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 802.79 | $0.090 | $72.25 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 630 | $0.109 | $68.67 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1.68K | $0.041 | $68.88 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.012 | $3 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 211.76 | $0.331 | $70 | Jun 9, 2026 |