Analytics
Yes is at 30.1%, up 29 points from 0.7% when the market opened on 15 Aug 2026.
Across the 72 daily closes on record from 15 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 40.8% on 20 Oct 2026 and the lowest 0.7% on 15 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 36.8%; a month before, 18.8%. Its largest one-day move was 8.6 points up, to 29.3% on 5 Oct 2026.
Puma Shen ranks second of the 3 outcomes in “Taipei Mayor Election Winner”. Chiang Wan-an leads at 69.5%; Kuo Hsi is at 0.1%.
$47.42K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.17M since listing. The order book holds $128.09K, with a 3.4% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $14.62K bought Yes and $23.04K bought No; the largest was a $2.41K sell of No at 66.0¢.
The largest Yes position is kaputen with 34.2K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 455.1K. Ten wallets hold 55.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 29 Nov 2026, 30 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 2:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 72 points, 15 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Aug 2026 | 0.7% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 32.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 455.14K |
| kaputen | Yes | 34.18K |
| UA2 | Yes | 33.18K |
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/taipei-mayor-election-winner-20260813125857100
| Icepie |
| Yes |
| 30.45K |
| Adoniswin | Yes | 26.51K |
| monsterben | Yes | 22.62K |
| FunMike | Yes | 22.2K |
| Vespuccii | No | 19K |
| winnehs | Yes | 17.56K |
| guguatca | Yes | 15.45K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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