Analytics
Trading ended on 25 Oct 2026 with Yes at 3.1%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
Across the 116 daily closes on record from 2 Jul 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 77.4% on 10 Sep 2026 and the lowest 1.1% on 27 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 71.6%; a month before, 67.2%. Its largest one-day move was 46 points up, to 59% on 5 Jul 2026.
Aleksandar Vučić ranks fourth of the 14 outcomes in “Next Prime Minister of Serbia?”. Dejan Šoškić leads at 59.3%; Radomir Saičić is at 17.5%.
$2.55M has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is GCottrell93 with 80.9K shares; the largest No position is izcikagamoji with 96.2K. Ten wallets hold 54.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Polymarket record as of Oct 30, 12:51 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 116 points, 2 Jul 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Jul 2026 | 45.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 3.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| izcikagamoji | No | 96.16K |
| GCottrell93 | Yes | 80.93K |
| flawfence | Yes | 67.63K |
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Serbia by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be elected by the National Assembly and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who is not elected by the National Assembly will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Serbian government.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minister-of-serbia-20260629223938642
2 more outcomes, none above 0.1%.
| Indigo Signal 2966 |
| No |
| 59.06K |
| 676767676767 | No | 44.54K |
| Gohst | No | 33.87K |
| basedcigany | No | 31.26K |
| cs2.quant | Yes | 17.44K |
| Discrete-Rubric | Yes | 16.4K |
| timebrotime | Yes | 16.39K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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