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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 18.18K | $0.422 | $14.26K | +$6.58K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?Yes | buy | 12.61 | $0.731 | $9.22 | 2h ago |
|
| Yes |
| 33.35K |
| $0.101 |
| $9.17K |
| +$5.81K |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 9.06K | $0.393 | $8.47K | +$4.91K |
 Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | No | 7.85K | $0.298 | $7.65K | +$5.31K |
 Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? | No | 7.88K | $0.305 | $7.59K | +$5.18K |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | No | 6.75K | $0.471 | $6.74K | +$3.56K |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 5.43K | $0.134 | $5.08K | +$4.35K |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.99K | $0.316 | $4.58K | +$2.69K |
| Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election? | Yes | 5.03K | $0.455 | $4.01K | +$1.72K |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Yes | 11.86K | $0.116 | $3.14K | +$1.77K |
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 3.26K | $0.461 | $2.91K | +$1.41K |
 Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 2.66K | $0.150 | $2.66K | +$2.26K |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Yes | 1.35K | $0.490 | $1.17K | +$505.1 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 2.66K | $0.315 | $1.16K | +$318.06 |
 Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? | No | 3.55K | $0.139 | $1.15K | +$658.27 |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 1.3K | $0.370 | $1.15K | +$668.1 |
 Will Gladyz Butanda Macías win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election? | Yes | 8.11K | $0.229 | $1.12K | -$736.26 |
 Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 1.12K | $0.590 | $1.11K | +$453.61 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | 1.26K | $0.602 | $1.08K | +$324.33 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31? | No | 1.35K | $0.367 | $1.04K | +$538.59 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 976.92 | $0.276 | $874.34 | +$604.34 |
 Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? | No | 1.08K | $0.340 | $854.73 | +$489.19 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 923.07 | $0.260 | $798.46 | +$558.46 |
 Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31? | Yes | 2K | $0.330 | $750 | +$90 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? | No | 666.66 | $0.450 | $645.66 | +$345.66 |
| buy |
| 1.39 |
| $0.721 |
| $1 |
| 3h ago |
 Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraíba?Yes | buy | 387.52 | $0.750 | $290.64 | 7d ago |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | 8d ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.320 | $1.6 | 10d ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 15.82 | $0.316 | $5 | 10d ago |
 Will Frank Scarpitti win the 2026 Markham mayoral election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.700 | $7 | 10d ago |
| Will Frank Scarpitti win the 2026 Markham mayoral election?No | buy | 31.4 | $0.442 | $13.87 | 10d ago |
| Will Frank Scarpitti win the 2026 Markham mayoral election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.685 | $6.85 | 10d ago |
| Will Frank Scarpitti win the 2026 Markham mayoral election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.750 | $3.75 | 10d ago |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 151.72 | $0.280 | $42.48 | 19d ago |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 256.67 | $0.390 | $100 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Yes | buy | 46 | $0.738 | $33.94 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Yes | buy | 36.46 | $0.632 | $23.04 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Yes | buy | 44.81 | $0.718 | $32.17 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.701 | $14.02 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Yes | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | buy | 1.43K | $0.639 | $914.25 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?No | buy | 14.99 | $0.630 | $9.44 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?No | buy | 6.62 | $0.570 | $3.77 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.920 | $11.5 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Yes | buy | 96 | $0.893 | $85.7 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Yes | buy | 67.84 | $0.951 | $64.52 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Yes | buy | 199.61 | $0.859 | $171.55 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETUp | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.080 | $100 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETUp | buy | 7.69 | $0.650 | $5 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETDown | buy | 9.43 | $0.530 | $5 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETUp | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETUp | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETDown | buy | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETDown | buy | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETUp | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETUp | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?No | buy | 193.08 | $0.764 | $147.58 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?No | buy | 938.56 | $0.690 | $647.61 | May 22, 2026 |
| Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?No | buy | 30 | $0.917 | $27.51 | May 19, 2026 |
| Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?No | buy | 40 | $0.917 | $36.68 | May 19, 2026 |
 Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.878 | $4.39 | May 19, 2026 |
| Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.787 | $19.68 | May 19, 2026 |
| Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 283.25 | $0.791 | $224.09 | May 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETUp | buy | 500 | $0.010 | $5 | May 4, 2026 |
 UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.87K | $0.180 | $517.34 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will Green Left be part of the next Government of Denmark?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?Yes | buy | 15.13 | $0.430 | $6.5 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?Yes | buy | 12.23 | $0.260 | $3.18 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.916 | $1 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | sell | 3.32K | $0.999 | $3.31K | Apr 9, 2026 |