Analytics
Yes is at 78.5%, up 30 points from 48.5% when the market opened on 20 Mar 2026.
Across the 194 daily closes on record from 20 Mar 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (25 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 78.5% on 24 Oct 2026 and the lowest 48.5% on 20 Mar 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 74.5%; a month before, 69.5%. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points up, to 72% on 19 Aug 2026.
$112.9K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $41.69K, with a 5.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $6.16K bought Yes and $9.76K bought No; the largest was a $4.56K buy of No at 38.0¢.
The largest Yes position is pede with 15.4K shares; the largest No position is PascalPro with 6.6K. Ten wallets hold 63.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 20 Jan 2029.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 11:14 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 194 points, 20 Mar 2026 – 24 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Mar 2026 | 48.5% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 78.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| pede | Yes | 15.4K |
| LlamaLoco0000 | Yes | 12.24K |
| PascalPro | No | 6.61K |
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-be-impeached-before-his-term-ends
| Motherly-Replacement |
| No |
| 4.16K |
| Gohst | No | 3.55K |
| itachi0x | No | 2.48K |
| cezarn132 | Yes | 2.2K |
| ran | No | 2.2K |
| oliman2 | No | 1.93K |
| crackenthusiast | Yes | 1.47K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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