Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 3K | $0.800 | $2.81K | +$405 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 51.67 | $0.370 | $19.1 | 20d ago |
|
| No |
| 2K |
| $0.844 |
| $1.85K |
| +$162.99 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 1K | $0.720 | $895 | +$175 |
 U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? | No | 645.79 | $0.825 | $597.36 | +$64.81 |
 Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? | No | 930.33 | $0.300 | $302.36 | +$23.26 |
 AI data center in space by December 31, 2027? | No | 200 | $0.750 | $169 | +$19 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | No | 38.57 | $0.220 | $9.84 | +$1.35 |
| sell |
| 10 |
| $0.480 |
| $4.8 |
| 20d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 15 | $0.530 | $7.95 | 20d ago |
| Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?No | buy | 191.27 | $0.300 | $57.38 | 20d ago |
| AI data center in space by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 200 | $0.750 | $150 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.790 | $395 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.870 | $870 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 1K | $0.720 | $720 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No | sell | 20 | $0.940 | $18.8 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No | buy | 85.7 | $0.680 | $58.28 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.822 | $822.43 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?No | buy | 140 | $0.965 | $135.1 | May 30, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?No | buy | 66.43 | $0.964 | $64.04 | May 30, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.840 | $168 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?Yes | buy | 40.6 | $0.820 | $33.29 | May 30, 2026 |
| U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?No | buy | 645.79 | $0.825 | $532.55 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026?Yes | buy | 167.93 | $0.880 | $147.75 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026?Yes | buy | 129 | $0.901 | $116.26 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.830 | $29.05 | May 13, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 1K | $0.940 | $940 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 151.77 | $0.910 | $138.11 | May 11, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 425.1 | $0.969 | $411.78 | May 11, 2026 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 126.4 | $0.911 | $115.15 | May 9, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 288.56 | $0.909 | $262.3 | May 8, 2026 |
 New pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 1K | $0.860 | $860 | May 8, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.910 | $910 | May 7, 2026 |
| New pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.890 | $889.81 | May 7, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.839 | $839.28 | May 7, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 308 | $0.920 | $283.31 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 3K | $0.800 | $2.4K | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.556 | $555.85 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.50–2.75 in March?Yes | buy | 94.93 | $0.099 | $9.44 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Yes | buy | 313 | $0.160 | $50.02 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 140 | $0.350 | $49 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 1K | $0.850 | $850 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?No | buy | 468.34 | $0.200 | $93.67 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?Yes | buy | 550 | $0.090 | $49.5 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 1K | $0.620 | $620 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?Yes | sell | 232.22 | $0.941 | $218.45 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.755 | $11.33 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 131.4 | $0.986 | $129.56 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.987 | $987 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.842 | $1.68K | Jan 30, 2026 |
 US civil war before 2027?No | buy | 93.3 | $0.847 | $79.01 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?No | sell | 250 | $0.651 | $162.76 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Zama auction clearing price above $0.05?No | buy | 50 | $0.660 | $33 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 500 | $0.890 | $445 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?No | buy | 250 | $0.780 | $195 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 358 | $0.200 | $71.6 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 358 | $0.280 | $100.24 | Jan 6, 2026 |