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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Yes | 302.84K | $0.315 | $83.28K | -$12.19K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.088 | $438.12 | 1d ago |
|
| No |
| 92.07K |
| $0.677 |
| $59.25K |
| -$3.12K |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 210.44K | $0.222 | $47.35K | +$716.53 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 300.68K | $0.394 | $36.38K | -$82.06K |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 200.22K | $0.213 | $29.03K | -$13.59K |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 414.18K | $0.229 | $26.92K | -$68.1K |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 229.24K | $0.108 | $26.36K | +$1.53K |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 373.3K | $0.110 | $24.26K | -$16.9K |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 284.87K | $0.248 | $19.94K | -$50.76K |
 Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? | Yes | 12.24K | $0.620 | $8.26K | +$673.06 |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 55.8K | $0.305 | $8.12K | -$8.9K |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 110.42K | $0.067 | $7.84K | +$433.84 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 122.77K | $0.168 | $7.37K | -$13.31K |
 Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | Yes | 124.18K | $0.073 | $6.46K | -$2.62K |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 62.18K | $0.266 | $4.66K | -$11.88K |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | Yes | 70.94K | $0.138 | $4.61K | -$5.17K |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 25.51K | $0.359 | $3.44K | -$5.71K |
 Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026? | Yes | 8.49K | $0.500 | $3.44K | -$807.23 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 58.97K | $0.187 | $2.57K | -$8.47K |
 Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? | Yes | 16.58K | $0.575 | $2.4K | -$7.13K |
 NATO article 5 before 2027? | Yes | 28.41K | $0.140 | $2.03K | -$1.95K |
 Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? | Yes | 16.89K | $0.206 | $1.51K | -$1.96K |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 52.58K | $0.033 | $1.29K | -$441.81 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 8.64K | $0.377 | $1.17K | -$2.09K |
 Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)? | Yes | 848.65 | $0.747 | $776.09 | +$142.29 |
| buy |
| 11.6K |
| $0.647 |
| $7.5K |
| 1d ago |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 20K | $0.638 | $12.77K | 1d ago |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.02K | $0.070 | $141.09 | 5d ago |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 861.38 | $0.162 | $139.34 | 9d ago |
| Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?Yes | buy | 3.45K | $0.064 | $220.65 | 13d ago |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 34.93K | $0.340 | $11.86K | 15d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 50K | $0.070 | $3.5K | 15d ago |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 28.68K | $0.330 | $9.47K | 16d ago |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 836.78 | $0.080 | $66.94 | 16d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 23K | $0.160 | $3.68K | 16d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.96K | $0.170 | $333.2 | 17d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 32.02K | $0.090 | $2.88K | 17d ago |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.21K | $0.153 | $644.26 | 17d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.05K | $0.260 | $532.99 | 17d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10.37K | $0.100 | $1.04K | 17d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 16.36K | $0.110 | $1.8K | 17d ago |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 46.03 | $0.171 | $7.87 | 17d ago |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10.8K | $0.189 | $2.04K | 17d ago |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 18.11K | $0.460 | $8.33K | 17d ago |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 10.57K | $0.320 | $3.38K | 17d ago |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 382.41K | $0.051 | $19.37K | 17d ago |
| Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 286.42K | $0.050 | $14.4K | 17d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 8.7K | $0.470 | $4.09K | 18d ago |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 18.93K | $0.310 | $5.87K | 18d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 307.51 | $0.250 | $76.88 | 18d ago |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 13.93K | $0.630 | $8.78K | 18d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 15.72K | $0.480 | $7.54K | 18d ago |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 11.24K | $0.300 | $3.37K | 18d ago |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 473.61 | $0.290 | $137.35 | 19d ago |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 115.08 | $0.280 | $32.22 | 19d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 7.96K | $0.170 | $1.35K | 19d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | sell | 26.46K | $0.080 | $2.12K | 19d ago |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.18K | $0.300 | $354.88 | 20d ago |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.310 | $9.3 | 20d ago |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.57K | $0.325 | $1.81K | 21d ago |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.310 | $31 | 22d ago |
| Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?Yes | buy | 434.45 | $0.537 | $233.1 | 22d ago |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 6.87K | $0.340 | $2.34K | 23d ago |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 9.44K | $0.340 | $3.21K | 23d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.86K | $0.234 | $3.94K | 26d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.17K | $0.360 | $3.66K | 26d ago |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 270 | $0.330 | $89.1 | 26d ago |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 8.24K | $0.047 | $386.93 | 27d ago |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.040 | $8 | 27d ago |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 233.91 | $0.045 | $10.41 | 27d ago |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 6.48K | $0.040 | $259.19 | 27d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 50K | $0.190 | $9.5K | 28d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 49.99K | $0.190 | $9.5K | 28d ago |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.61K | $0.320 | $516.04 | 28d ago |