Analytics
Yes is at 4.7%, down 43 points from 47.5% when the market opened on 25 Nov 2025.
Across the 298 daily closes on record from 25 Nov 2025 to 30 Oct 2026 (43 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 54% on 26 Nov 2025 and the lowest 3.1% on 8 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 4%; a month before, 4.7%. Its largest one-day move was 29 points down, to 24% on 28 Nov 2025.
It is one of 30 markets under “What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?”.
$115.49K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $9M since listing. The order book holds $213.36K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $13.11K bought Yes and $33.38K bought No; the largest was a $19.55K buy of No at 95.9¢.
The largest Yes position is greater-fools with 233.8K shares; the largest No position is notprofitabl with 1.11M. Ten wallets hold 60.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 7:34 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 298 points, 25 Nov 2025 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Nov 2025 | 47.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 4.7% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| notprofitabl | No | 1.11M |
| greater-fools | Yes | 233.83K |
| Organic-Intensity | Yes | 173.73K |
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-before-2027
18 more markets, none above 2.9%.
| D7422D98eA0d5b6Dd942a8eEd1d2a61945bFd0 | Yes | 151.76K |
| boyau | Yes | 150.83K |
| Serene-Decision | No | 106.59K |
| howaboutsendit | No | 79.96K |
| Lunarcorona | Yes | 67.55K |
| LlamaLoco0000 | Yes | 62.18K |
| AndreasSchm | Yes | 59K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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