Analytics
Yes is at 25%, about where the market opened on 9 Jun 2026.
Across the 138 daily closes on record from 9 Jun 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 62.5% on 22 Sep 2026 and the lowest 10% on 4 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 34.5%; a month before, 52.5%. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 62.5% on 22 Sep 2026.
It is one of 30 markets under “What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?”.
$17.13K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.05M since listing. The order book holds $87.4K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $16.76K bought Yes and $67.54K bought No; the largest was a $21.21K buy of No at 78.8¢.
The largest Yes position is Creamethod with 59.9K shares; the largest No position is floatingraft with 245K. Ten wallets hold 72.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 1:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 138 points, 9 Jun 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Jun 2026 | 25.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 25.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| floatingraft | No | 245K |
| Creamethod | Yes | 59.87K |
| Tokor | Yes | 58.89K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-before-2027
18 more markets, none above 3.2%.
| BTCmaxi |
| Yes |
| 57.85K |
| Damp-Narrative | Yes | 40.44K |
| Serene-Decision | No | 39.01K |
| max1ved | No | 35.87K |
| Grounded-Automation | No | 24.23K |
| Quiet Falcon 3CA7 | Yes | 19.09K |
| jingxingyhh | Yes | 19K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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