Room attention 71, Catalyst contention
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 19-25?$77.95K 24hbid 47.0%, ask 48.0%$43.43K liquidity
Crypto majors, market catalysts, and exchange-linked prediction markets
Latest checkNo material change across 18 monitored markets2m ago
Checks cover the monitored markets and captured inputs
Trade capture current; the latest captured trade has its own timestamp
No high-signal wallets resolved for this room yet.
On Polymarket, “Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?” trades at 4.9%, with $42.5K traded in the last 24 hours. Vultax links 18 markets to Crypto markets, which traded $941K together over the same period. Prices as of 24 Oct 2026, 08:52 UTC.
| Market | Chance | 24h volume | Liquidity | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24? | 95% | $118K | $45.3K | 24 Oct 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 24? | 5.4% | $99.7K | $41.4K | 24 Oct 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 19-25? | 48% | $78.0K | $43.4K | 26 Oct 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 19-25? | 7.1% | $65.4K | $51.1K | 26 Oct 2026 |
Price changes in probability points, measured on Polymarket’s own trade history for the room’s busiest markets. A market whose history does not reach back over a window is left out of that window rather than shown against a shorter one.
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
This room follows the Polymarket markets Vultax links to crypto: Bitcoin and Ethereum price targets and ranges, ETF approvals and flows, stablecoin and market-structure legislation, and exchange events. Each price is shown with its 24-hour volume and resting liquidity.
Price-target markets ask whether an asset trades above, below or within a range at a stated time and on a named price source. A set of strikes on the same date forms a distribution: reading them together shows where traders place the price, not just whether one level is likely.
Each market resolves on its own written rules, including the deadline, the resolution source and what counts as the event. Two markets on the same subject with different wording can and do trade at different prices, so read the rules on the market page before comparing them.
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 24? | >99% | $63.7K | $43.0K | 24 Oct 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 19-25? | <1% | $57.2K | $57.7K | 26 Oct 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 19-25? | 2.0% | $52.6K | $62.5K | 26 Oct 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 24? | <1% | $48.0K | $39.7K | 24 Oct 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 19-25? | 1.1% | $45.4K | $43.2K | 26 Oct 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | 4.9% | $42.5K | $223K | 1 Jan 2027 |
Nothing here has moved by more than its normal daily swing. The prices below are where the market has settled for now.
Down 3.0 points in a week, 0.4× a normal week for this contract. 3 days running in the same direction. At its lowest in 30 days. Volume is well under a normal day, so treat it with care.
Down 6.0 points in a week, 0.8× a normal week for this contract. 3 days running in the same direction. At its lowest in 30 days. Volume is well under a normal day, so treat it with care.
Little change: +1.0 points on the day against a normal daily swing of 2.0.
Little change: −1.0 points on the day against a normal daily swing of 1.5. At its lowest in 30 days.
Research is free. Create a free account to save room watches and use your Vi allowance.
| Outcome | 30 days ago | Now |
|---|---|---|
| ↑ 90,000 | 68% | 51% |
| ↓ 70,000 | 37% | 36% |
| ↑ 95,000 | 50% | 30% |
| ↓ 65,000 | 23% | 23% |
| ↑ 100,000 | 36% | 20% |
| ↓ 60,000 | 16% | 14% |
| Outcome | Bid / ask | Within 2¢ | $1K pays | $10K pays |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 90,000 | 50¢/51¢ | $2.2K, $14.5K | 51¢+0.3 | 52¢+1.2 |
| ↓ 70,000 | 35¢/36¢ | $8.6K, $55.6K | 36¢+0.0 | 36¢+0.0 |
| ↑ 95,000 | 29¢/30¢ | $792, $19.7K | 30¢+0.0 | 30¢+0.5 |
| ↓ 65,000 | 22¢/23¢ | $2.7K, $38.7K | 23¢+0.0 | 23¢+0.0 |
| ↑ 100,000 | 19¢/20¢ | $1.5K, $6.5K | 20¢+0.0 | 23¢+2.5 |
Vultax Research: how Polymarket trader leaderboards compare
Vultax Research: what copying a Polymarket trade 30 seconds late costs
Last recorded read: 2026-10-24 08:48 UTC
Down 5.0 points in 24 hours, 2.5× its normal daily swing. Down 7.0 on the week. At its lowest in 30 days. Volume is well under a normal day, so treat it with care.
Down 9.0 points in a week, 1.1× a normal week for this contract. At its lowest in 30 days. Volume is well under a normal day, so treat it with care.
Down 39 points in a week, 0.5× a normal week for this contract. At its lowest in 30 days. Volume is 5.3× a normal day, so money came with it.
Up 31 points in a week, 0.9× a normal week for this contract. At its highest in 30 days. Volume is 5.3× a normal day, so money came with it.
Up 4.2 points in a week, 1.8× a normal week for this contract. At its highest in 30 days. Volume is 5.3× a normal day, so money came with it.
Up 12 points in a week, 2.0× a normal week for this contract. At its highest in 30 days. Volume is 5.3× a normal day, so money came with it.
Up 7.0 points in 24 hours, 3.5× its normal daily swing.
Down 14 points in 24 hours, 4.7× its normal daily swing.
Down 8.5 points in 24 hours, 4.2× its normal daily swing.
Down 5.5 points in 24 hours, 3.7× its normal daily swing.
Up 4.0 points in 24 hours, 4.0× its normal daily swing.
Up 9.0 points on the day, against a week that ran down 5.5: 4.5× its normal daily swing, the other way.
Up 5.0 points in 24 hours, 2.5× its normal daily swing. At its highest in 30 days.
Up 3.5 points on the day, against a week that ran down 7.0: 1.7× its normal daily swing, the other way.
Down 8.0 points in a week, 1.5× a normal week for this contract.
Down 4.0 points in a week, 1.5× a normal week for this contract.
Down 2.0 points in 24 hours, 2.0× its normal daily swing. Down 3.0 on the week.
Down 12 points in a week, 2.3× a normal week for this contract.
Down 5.5 points in 24 hours, 2.8× its normal daily swing. Down 6.0 on the week.
Up 6.5 points in 24 hours, 3.2× its normal daily swing.
Down 5.0 points in 24 hours, 5.0× its normal daily swing. Down 6.0 on the week.
Down 8.0 points in 24 hours, 4.0× its normal daily swing.
Up 3.0 points on the day, against a week that ran down 4.0: 2.0× its normal daily swing, the other way.
Down 3.5 points in 24 hours, 3.5× its normal daily swing.