Analytics
Yes is at 16.5%, down 4.5 points from 21% when the market opened on 20 Oct 2026.
The high was 29.5% on 21 Oct 2026 and the low 16.5% on 22 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 16.5% on 22 Oct 2026.
It is one of 14 markets under “What price will Bitcoin hit October 19-25?”.
$30.18K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $40.53K since listing. The order book holds $18.53K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 267 trades, $7.32K bought Yes and $10.48K bought No; the largest was a $2.13K buy of Yes at 30.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Quiet Falcon 3CA7 with 14.8K shares; the largest No position is Impressive-Steak with 19.6K. Ten wallets hold 87.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 26 Oct 2026, 4 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 22, 5:10 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 20 Oct 2026 – 22 Oct 2026, chart shows 10%–35%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Oct 2026 | 21.0% |
| 22 Oct 2026 | 16.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | No | 19.59K |
| Quiet Falcon 3CA7 | Yes | 14.76K |
| ComTruise | Yes | 3.99K |
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-october-19-25-2026
2 more markets, none above 0.3%.
| justdance | Yes | 2.78K |
| 33pls | No | 2.2K |
| lee886 | No | 1.73K |
| coinfilippe | Yes | 1.25K |
| liftfordid | Yes | 1K |
| x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4 | No | 863.51 |
| BobbieBarker | Yes | 558.18 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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