Analytics
Yes is at 0.5%, down 2.9 points from 3.4% when the market opened on 20 Oct 2026.
Across the 4 daily closes on record from 20 Oct 2026 to 26 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 3.4% on 20 Oct 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 26 Oct 2026.
It is one of 14 markets under “What price will Bitcoin hit October 19-25?”.
$38.28K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $180.62K since listing. The order book holds $48.15K, with a 0.6% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $635.09 bought Yes and $103.06K bought No; the largest was a $15.05K buy of No at 98.5¢.
The largest Yes position is boyau with 55.1K shares; the largest No position is beatyesterday with 23.7K. Ten wallets hold 87.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 26 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 26, 12:18 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 20 Oct 2026 – 26 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Oct 2026 | 3.4% |
| 26 Oct 2026 | 0.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| boyau | Yes | 55.12K |
| beatyesterday | No | 23.73K |
| Tttyh | No | 16.08K |
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-october-19-25-2026
2 more markets, none above 0.1%.
| Quiet Falcon 3CA7 |
| No |
| 12.83K |
| cryptodebil | Yes | 12.4K |
| x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4 | No | 9.25K |
| Impressive-Steak | No | 7.21K |
| Tokor | Yes | 5.54K |
| Navigator77 | No | 4.47K |
| Facaie | No | 2.14K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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