Analytics
Yes is at 8.2%, down 14 points from 22.5% when the market opened on 20 Oct 2026.
Across the 5 daily closes on record from 20 Oct 2026 to 24 Oct 2026, the highest close was 22.5% on 20 Oct 2026 and the lowest 5.9% on 24 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 10.5% on 21 Oct 2026.
↓ 78,000 ranks third of the 15 outcomes in “What price will Bitcoin hit October 19-25?”. ↓ 80,000 leads at 55.5%; ↑ 82,000 is at 22%.
$68.75K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $139.52K since listing. The order book holds $47.33K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $4.95K bought Yes and $25.33K bought No; the largest was a $1.26K buy of No at 86.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Quiet Falcon 3CA7 with 24.4K shares; the largest No position is Impressive-Steak with 47.6K. Ten wallets hold 89.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 26 Oct 2026, 2 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 11:14 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 20 Oct 2026 – 24 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Oct 2026 | 22.5% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 8.2% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | No | 47.61K |
| Quiet Falcon 3CA7 | Yes | 24.43K |
| Delayed-Blend | Yes | 10.91K |
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-october-19-25-2026
3 more outcomes, none above 0.1%.
| boyau | Yes | 10K |
| anna003 | Yes | 5.15K |
| gangwarharshit | No | 5K |
| Corny-Mincemeat | Yes | 3.02K |
| ComTruise | No | 2.27K |
| Tokor | Yes | 2.09K |
| AkarshitGangwar | No | 2K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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