
Resolved Yes on 23 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.2%. Yes opened at 94% on 17 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 17 Oct 2026 to 21 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 99.2% on 21 Oct 2026 and the lowest 94% on 17 Oct 2026. $88.5K traded over the market's life.
39 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 24, 1:22 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 17 Oct 2026 – 21 Oct 2026, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | 94.0% |
| 21 Oct 2026 | 99.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| theRushingBull | No | 11.86K |
| beii | No | 8.61K |
| gt197 | No | 5.38K |
| Spirit-LT | No | 5K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-23-2026
| latzs | No | 2.88K |
| zzzgoodwill1 | No | 1.34K |
| babybaby1234 | No | 1.21K |
| averagerandomman | No | 1.12K |
| Skamazon | No | 1K |
| qqqq88888 | No | 973.44 |
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