Analytics
Trading is closed with Yes last at 0.1%; no result has been reported.
Across the 7 daily closes on record from 16 Oct 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 78% on 21 Oct 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 24 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 58%. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 78% on 21 Oct 2026.
$880.72K has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is tahork with 145K shares; the largest No position is 033033033 with 426.9K. Ten wallets hold 87% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Polymarket record as of Oct 24, 11:18 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 16 Oct 2026 – 24 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2026 | 61.5% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereum-above-on-october-22-2026
| C03B | No | 95.77K |
| AgricultureSecretary | Yes | 59.56K |
| przemekkm | Yes | 41.6K |
| thanksmom | No | 30.74K |
| ProudIsraeli | Yes | 26K |
| jenkinL | Yes | 16.91K |
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