Analytics
Yes is at 100%, up 2 points from 98% when the market opened on 19 Oct 2026.
Across the 4 daily closes on record from 19 Oct 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 100% on 24 Oct 2026 and the lowest 98% on 19 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on October 24?”.
$47.14K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $66.12K since listing. The order book holds $63.36K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 190 trades, $23.77K bought Yes and $250 bought No; the largest was a $2.25K buy of Yes at 99.9¢.
The largest Yes position is Impressive-Steak with 13.4K shares; the largest No position is qqqq88888 with 7K. Ten wallets hold 68.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 24 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 11:12 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 19 Oct 2026 – 24 Oct 2026, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2026 | 98.0% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 100.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 13.36K |
| FXC | Yes | 11.1K |
| qqqq88888 | No | 7K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-24-2026
| gt197 |
| No |
| 5.66K |
| TwinPath | Yes | 5.22K |
| anna003 | No | 5.12K |
| beii | No | 4.39K |
| theRushingBull | No | 4.07K |
| suntori | No | 3.69K |
| Facaie | Yes | 3.67K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
