Analytics
Yes is at 98.6%, up 3.9 points from 94.7% when the market opened on 19 Oct 2026.
Across the 4 daily closes on record from 19 Oct 2026 to 22 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 99.4% on 21 Oct 2026 and the lowest 94.7% on 19 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on October 24?”.
$632.6 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $8.14K since listing. The order book holds $41.87K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 37 trades, $7.06K bought Yes and $14.28 bought No; the largest was a $1.23K buy of Yes at 95.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Impressive-Steak with 7.8K shares; the largest No position is gt197 with 4.4K.
Trading closes on 24 Oct 2026, 2 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 22, 4:07 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 19 Oct 2026 – 22 Oct 2026, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2026 | 94.7% |
| 22 Oct 2026 | 98.6% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 7.77K |
| gt197 | No | 4.43K |
| Rapid Maven 7394 | No | 2.47K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-24-2026
| atoutlemonde |
| No |
| 368.16 |
| Xavyc3 | No | 284.95 |
| suntori | No | 259.44 |
| 196874353278 | No | 42.65 |
| GabiAnt95 | No | 37.97 |
| apper | Yes | 30 |
| openclaw38 | Yes | 28.65 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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