Analytics
Yes is at 98%, up 23 points from 75% when the market opened on 19 Oct 2026.
Across the 4 daily closes on record from 19 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 98% on 23 Oct 2026 and the lowest 75% on 19 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 90% on 21 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on October 24?”.
$68.58K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $83.94K since listing. The order book holds $46.39K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 366 trades, $15.44K bought Yes and $5.64K bought No; the largest was a $1.69K buy of Yes at 94.4¢.
The largest Yes position is Impressive-Steak with 8.7K shares; the largest No position is Fine-Discrimination with 4.7K. Ten wallets hold 72.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 24 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 9:40 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 19 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 70%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2026 | 75.0% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 98.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 8.69K |
| Fine-Discrimination | No | 4.66K |
| ComTruise | No | 4K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-24-2026
| ssddssd |
| Yes |
| 2.5K |
| vedaresearch.btc | No | 2.4K |
| coconutsteaksauce | Yes | 2.17K |
| gt197 | No | 1.94K |
| 0xDB5 | Yes | 1.93K |
| baba1443 | Yes | 1.79K |
| rizotor | No | 1.74K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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