Analytics
Yes is at 6.7%, down 22 points from 29% when the market opened on 19 Oct 2026.
Across the 5 daily closes on record from 19 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026, the highest close was 34% on 21 Oct 2026 and the lowest 3.5% on 23 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 11 points up, to 34% on 21 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on October 24?”.
$5.89K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $8.88K since listing. The order book holds $42.76K, with a 0.5% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 121 trades, $649.39 bought Yes and $2.03K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Growing-Unibody with 904 shares; the largest No position is Impressive-Steak with 2K. Ten wallets hold 90.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 24 Oct 2026, 2 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 6:50 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 19 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2026 | 29.0% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 6.7% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | No | 2.03K |
| ssddssd | No | 1.2K |
| Growing-Unibody | Yes | 904 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-24-2026
| PatoBlindado |
| Yes |
| 808 |
| ComTruise | Yes | 667.07 |
| PBot-10 | Yes | 510.98 |
| coinfilippe | No | 347.12 |
| Bullishbullshii | Yes | 281.97 |
| gt197 | Yes | 275.51 |
| neutralwave23 | Yes | 129.5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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