Analytics
Yes is at 96.4%, up 7.4 points from 89% when the market opened on 19 Oct 2026.
Across the 3 daily closes on record from 19 Oct 2026 to 21 Oct 2026, the highest close was 97.4% on 21 Oct 2026 and the lowest 89% on 19 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on October 24?”.
$6.7K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $10.79K since listing. The order book holds $43.26K, with a 0.9% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 65 trades, $6.23K bought Yes and $499.25 bought No; the largest was a $1.62K buy of Yes at 93.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Impressive-Steak with 15.3K shares; the largest No position is 0x4269 with 7K. Ten wallets hold 97% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 24 Oct 2026, 2 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 22, 3:58 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 19 Oct 2026 – 21 Oct 2026, chart shows 85%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2026 | 89.0% |
| 21 Oct 2026 | 97.4% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 15.34K |
| 0x4269 | No | 7K |
| Rapid Maven 7394 | No | 2.48K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-24-2026
| gt197 |
| No |
| 2.19K |
| Rodri0 | No | 1.62K |
| coinfilippe | No | 1.13K |
| Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | No | 1.06K |
| coconutsteaksauce | Yes | 700 |
| PatoBlindado | No | 375 |
| TCBY6688 | Yes | 280 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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