Analytics
Yes is at 1.4%, down 11 points from 12.5% when the market opened on 19 Oct 2026.
Across the 4 daily closes on record from 19 Oct 2026 to 22 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 12.5% on 19 Oct 2026 and the lowest 1.4% on 22 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on October 24?”.
$3.95K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $5.86K since listing. The order book holds $43.54K, with a 0.7% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 59 trades, $576.63 bought Yes and $2.06K bought No.
The largest Yes position is PBot-10 with 958 shares; the largest No position is ssddssd with 1.7K. Ten wallets hold 85.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 24 Oct 2026, 3 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 22, 3:26 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 19 Oct 2026 – 22 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2026 | 12.5% |
| 22 Oct 2026 | 1.4% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ssddssd | No | 1.67K |
| PBot-10 | Yes | 958.28 |
| gobblewobble | Yes | 870.05 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-24-2026
| GoodLuck68886 |
| No |
| 671 |
| LiMoon | No | 396.49 |
| coinfilippe | No | 374.05 |
| 0xDB5 | No | 374.02 |
| Rapid Maven 7394 | Yes | 294.6 |
| Xavyc3 | Yes | 294 |
| Bullishbullshii | Yes | 223.66 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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