Analytics
Yes is at 99.5%, up 1.5 points from 98% when the market opened on 19 Oct 2026.
Across the 4 daily closes on record from 19 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 99.5% on 23 Oct 2026 and the lowest 98% on 19 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on October 24?”.
$2.44K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $17.84K since listing. The order book holds $44.88K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 78 trades, $10.02K bought Yes and $211.97 bought No; the largest was a $1.49K buy of Yes at 98.1¢.
The largest Yes position is Impressive-Steak with 13.4K shares; the largest No position is gt197 with 5.7K. Ten wallets hold 99.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 24 Oct 2026, 2 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 6:52 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 19 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2026 | 98.0% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 99.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 13.36K |
| gt197 | No | 5.66K |
| anna003 | No | 5.12K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-24-2026
| 196874353278 |
| No |
| 2.16K |
| Rapid Maven 7394 | No | 727.35 |
| coinfilippe | Yes | 421.04 |
| GabiAnt95 | No | 78.99 |
| justbotting | Yes | 37.92 |
| gaihuang | Yes | 29.15 |
| wukongs | Yes | 17.09 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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