Analytics
Yes is at 3.4%, down 62 points from 65% when the market opened on 12 Jan 2026.
Across the 258 daily closes on record from 12 Jan 2026 to 21 Oct 2026 (25 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 81.5% on 20 Feb 2026 and the lowest 4.8% on 3 Oct 2026. The current quote, 3.4%, is below every close in that window; the latest close was 4.9% on 21 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 6%; a month before, 6%. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 51.5% on 24 Feb 2026.
$28.5K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $24.44M since listing. The order book holds $230.03K, with a 0.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $2.33K bought Yes and $27.32K bought No; the largest was a $17.47K buy of No at 96.3¢.
The largest Yes position is wan123 with 539.9K shares; the largest No position is VelvetNova27 with 1.05M. Ten wallets hold 53.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 69 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 10:12 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 258 points, 12 Jan 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Jan 2026 | 65.0% |
| 21 Oct 2026 | 4.9% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| VelvetNova27 | No | 1.05M |
| TahitiBob | No | 1.03M |
| KatsuManager87 | No | 809.3K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/clarity-act-signed-into-law-in-2026
| blahblah344 |
| No |
| 546.84K |
| wan123 | Yes | 539.93K |
| Camelcc | Yes | 323.02K |
| ImJustKenVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile | Yes | 310.5K |
| yuahldj | No | 303.96K |
| 1916JConnolly | No | 166.36K |
| BearKingdom | No | 161.11K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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