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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 123.94K | $0.818 | $105.97K | +$4.52K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No one announced as next James Bond?No | buy | 27.26 | $0.771 | $21.02 | 1d ago |
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| No |
| 93.52K |
| $0.675 |
| $88.37K |
| +$25.25K |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 178.75K | $0.668 | $83.12K | -$36.36K |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 129.66K | $0.634 | $60.29K | -$21.98K |
No one announced as next James Bond? | No | 57.69K | $0.755 | $45.58K | +$2.01K |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 235.02K | $0.217 | $34.08K | -$16.97K |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 32.43K | $0.049 | $26.8K | +$25.2K |
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 25K | $0.901 | $22.04K | -$487.5 |
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 296.65K | $0.038 | $16.02K | +$4.65K |
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 48.64K | $0.311 | $13.86K | -$1.27K |
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Yes | 75.95K | $0.221 | $13.29K | -$3.47K |
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 13.73K | $0.845 | $11.54K | -$61.64 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 109.99K | $0.099 | $9.51K | -$1.38K |
Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 30.84K | $0.433 | $9.1K | -$4.25K |
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 16.38K | $0.517 | $8.85K | +$370.49 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 61.05K | $0.107 | $8.76K | +$2.24K |
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 9.2K | $0.711 | $8.51K | +$1.97K |
New pandemic in 2026? | No | 8.38K | $0.892 | $7.88K | +$398 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? | No | 17.67K | $0.330 | $7.86K | +$2.03K |
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 9.02K | $0.832 | $7.63K | +$121.34 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 116.38K | $0.201 | $7.57K | -$15.83K |
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | No | 45.8K | $0.191 | $7.56K | -$1.17K |
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 299.43K | $0.015 | $7.34K | +$2.67K |
Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 7.67K | $0.857 | $7.32K | +$753.73 |
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 13.96K | $0.468 | $7.12K | +$589.75 |
| buy |
| 2.37K |
| $0.292 |
| $692.72 |
| 3d ago |
Will Bradley Whitford – “The Diplomat” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series?Yes | sell | 890.59 | $0.214 | $190.51 | 10d ago |
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.1K | $0.780 | $7.1K | 13d ago |
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 613.33 | $0.169 | $103.67 | 13d ago |
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 2.05K | $0.430 | $881.62 | 14d ago |
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | buy | 28.37K | $0.418 | $11.86K | 14d ago |
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 48.31 | $0.800 | $38.65 | 14d ago |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?No | buy | 4.78K | $0.330 | $1.58K | 14d ago |
Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 1.26K | $0.440 | $555.23 | 14d ago |
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | buy | 10 | $0.341 | $3.41 | 14d ago |
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 1.68K | $0.340 | $570.84 | 14d ago |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.090 | $45 | 15d ago |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.31K | $0.047 | $109.41 | 15d ago |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.044 | $65.96 | 15d ago |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?No | buy | 615.91 | $0.300 | $184.77 | 16d ago |
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?Yes | buy | 20.66K | $0.318 | $6.56K | 16d ago |
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?No | buy | 5.42K | $0.290 | $1.57K | 16d ago |
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?No | buy | 5.68K | $0.349 | $1.98K | 16d ago |
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 900m and 920m by August 31?Yes | buy | 5.92K | $0.290 | $1.72K | 16d ago |
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 900m by August 31?No | buy | 2.47K | $0.280 | $692.85 | 16d ago |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 159.6 | $0.858 | $136.94 | 16d ago |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 3.25K | $0.771 | $2.5K | 17d ago |
No one announced as next James Bond?No | buy | 60.73K | $0.750 | $45.57K | 17d ago |
No one announced as next James Bond?No | buy | 27.75K | $0.732 | $20.31K | 17d ago |
No one announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 939.77 | $0.281 | $264.18 | 17d ago |
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.247 | $7.41 | 17d ago |
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?No | buy | 3.17K | $0.249 | $789.66 | 17d ago |
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 10.33K | $0.100 | $1.03K | 17d ago |
Will the Republican Party win the OK-03 House seat?Yes | buy | 982.24 | $0.940 | $923.31 | 17d ago |
Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 15K | $0.160 | $2.4K | 17d ago |
Will the Republican Party win the MS-01 House seat?Yes | buy | 2.56K | $0.940 | $2.41K | 17d ago |
Will the Republican Party win the LA-03 House seat?Yes | buy | 1.73K | $0.940 | $1.63K | 17d ago |
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-06 House seat?Yes | buy | 3.83K | $0.942 | $3.61K | 17d ago |
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-03 House seat?Yes | buy | 3.6K | $0.940 | $3.38K | 17d ago |
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 48.13K | $0.310 | $14.92K | 17d ago |
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?No | buy | 143.59 | $0.100 | $14.36 | 17d ago |
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.36K | $0.091 | $215.51 | 17d ago |
Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?No | buy | 4.04K | $0.924 | $3.73K | 17d ago |
Will Hank Kroll win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes | sell | 1.02K | $0.001 | $1.02 | 17d ago |
Will Bruce Walden win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes | sell | 1.02K | $0.001 | $1.02 | 17d ago |
Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes | sell | 1.17K | $0.001 | $1.17 | 17d ago |
Will Edna DeVries win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes | sell | 1.02K | $0.001 | $1.02 | 17d ago |
Will James Parkin win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes | sell | 1.04K | $0.001 | $1.41 | 17d ago |
Will Matt Heilala win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes | sell | 1.02K | $0.002 | $2.04 | 17d ago |
Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes | sell | 778 | $0.002 | $1.56 | 17d ago |
Will Matt Claman win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes | sell | 860.98 | $0.002 | $1.72 | 17d ago |
Will Lisa Murkowski win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes | sell | 1.02K | $0.002 | $2.04 | 17d ago |
Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 291.7 | $0.047 | $13.71 | 17d ago |
Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 793.49 | $0.953 | $756.44 | 17d ago |