Analytics
Yes is at 50.5%, down 12 points from 62% when the market opened on 7 Feb 2026.
Across the 244 daily closes on record from 7 Feb 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (16 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 83% on 22 Sep 2026 and the lowest 11.5% on 17 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 54.5%; a month before, 71.5%. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 83% on 22 Sep 2026.
It is one of 31 markets under “What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?”.
$7.12K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.5M since listing. The order book holds $87.49K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $22.38K bought Yes and $33.52K bought No; the largest was a $5.33K buy of No at 35.0¢.
The largest Yes position is boyau with 75.9K shares; the largest No position is floatingraft with 163.4K. Ten wallets hold 51.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 69 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 10:48 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 244 points, 7 Feb 2026 – 24 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Feb 2026 | 62.0% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 50.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| floatingraft | No | 163.42K |
| boyau | Yes | 75.9K |
| Creamethod | Yes | 40K |
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-before-2027
19 more markets, none above 3.1%.
| max1ved |
| No |
| 34K |
| Grounded-Automation | No | 33.6K |
| Serene-Decision | No | 30.52K |
| Quiet Falcon 3CA7 | Yes | 30.25K |
| AllByMyseIf | No | 30K |
| ballinco | No | 29.37K |
| pwnatorul | Yes | 22.88K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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