Analytics
The Up side is at 15.5%, down 35 points from 50.5% when the market opened on 23 Oct 2026.
Across the 2 daily closes on record from 23 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026, the highest close was 50.5% on 23 Oct 2026 and the lowest 16.5% on 23 Oct 2026. The current quote, 15.5%, is below every close in that window; the latest close was 16.5% on 23 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 34 points down, to 16.5% on 23 Oct 2026.
$27.56K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $43.46K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $3.08K bought Up and $6.94K bought Down.
The largest Up position is Exciting-Teepee-Compost with 3K shares; the largest Down position is Impressive-Steak with 11.8K. Ten wallets hold 68% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 24 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 11:18 PM UTC
The paper ticket needs a verified Yes / No pair, which this market does not have here.
Open in PredictionsDaily closes of the Up price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 23 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026
| Observed | Up price |
|---|---|
| 23 Oct 2026 | 50.5% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 16.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | Down | 11.79K |
| Exciting-Teepee-Compost | Up | 3K |
| 222000YE | Up | 2.2K |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 23 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 24 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 23 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 24 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-24-2026
| ComTruise | Down | 1.99K |
| Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Up | 1.85K |
| easypredict | Down | 1.21K |
| coinfilippe | Up | 1.19K |
| momingqimiao | Up | 1.19K |
| Main2222 | Up | 1.09K |
| nikaq | Up | 1.06K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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