Analytics
Yes is at 9%, down 65 points from 74% when the market opened on 9 Mar 2026.
Across the 215 daily closes on record from 9 Mar 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (15 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 91.3% on 13 Mar 2026 and the lowest 8.2% on 19 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 8.2%; a month before, 16.8%. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 90.5% on 10 Mar 2026.
It is one of 8 markets under “Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?”.
$166.52K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $16.93K, with a 0.4% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $1.34K bought Yes and $19.23K bought No; the largest was a $4.36K buy of No at 90.3¢.
The largest Yes position is cryptoincome with 5.8K shares; the largest No position is bozotys with 11K. Ten wallets hold 64% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 69 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 1:22 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 215 points, 9 Mar 2026 – 24 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Mar 2026 | 74.0% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 8.7% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bozotys | No | 10.96K |
| MaxEnt | No | 8.86K |
| cryptoincome | Yes | 5.8K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/opensea-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| LemonBrothers |
| Yes |
| 5.75K |
| DongFangXiongDi | No | 5.64K |
| RubiksGus | No | 2.62K |
| qoxldtls | Yes | 2K |
| dedslcfmsds | Yes | 2K |
| tryingmyluckhere | Yes | 1.89K |
| cappos | Yes | 1.84K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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