Analytics
Yes is at 6.9%, down 86 points from 93% when the market opened on 1 Oct 2025.
Across the 365 daily closes on record from 1 Oct 2025 to 30 Oct 2026 (31 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 98.4% on 15 Oct 2025 and the lowest 6.9% on 30 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 8.6%; a month before, 17.3%. Its largest one-day move was 7.9 points down, to 31.2% on 30 Jun 2026.
It is one of 8 markets under “Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?”.
$1.99K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.31M since listing. The order book holds $3.43K, with a 1.8% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $593.37 bought Yes and $16.31K bought No; the largest was a $1.47K buy of No at 82.3¢.
The largest Yes position is GrandMaXx95 with 58.5K shares; the largest No position is olegs with 10.5K. Ten wallets hold 59% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 1:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 365 points, 1 Oct 2025 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Oct 2025 | 93.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 6.9% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| GrandMaXx95 | Yes | 58.49K |
| olegs | No | 10.45K |
| MaxEnt | No | 7.23K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/opensea-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| cryptoincome |
| No |
| 6.8K |
| 165198989 | No | 6.7K |
| bozotys | No | 5.81K |
| Anjun | No | 4.92K |
| keks88 | No | 4.57K |
| dodged-a-bullet | No | 4.45K |
| Liquidifier | Yes | 4.17K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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