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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 18K | $0.500 | $17.97K | +$8.97K |
Trump out as President before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.180 | $359.83 | Jul 29, 2026 |
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| No |
| 10K |
| $0.835 |
| $9.45K |
| +$1.1K |
China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 7K | $0.887 | $6.55K | +$335.06 |
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 6.19K | $0.392 | $5.26K | +$2.84K |
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 5.33K | $0.940 | $5.09K | +$81.92 |
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 3.49K | $0.873 | $3.29K | +$234.09 |
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 4.59K | $0.708 | $2.53K | -$727.36 |
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | 2.38K | $0.116 | $1.77K | +$1.49K |
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 1.81K | $0.612 | $1.58K | +$468.79 |
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | 6.29K | $0.075 | $966.25 | +$495.92 |
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 4.17K | $0.686 | $931.78 | -$1.93K |
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? | No | 937.2 | $0.689 | $885.66 | +$239.74 |
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? | Yes | 6.26K | $0.613 | $844.45 | -$2.99K |
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 851.6 | $0.528 | $779.21 | +$329.25 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 5.12K | $0.330 | $742.8 | -$947.71 |
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 838.95 | $0.600 | $717.3 | +$213.93 |
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | Yes | 946.79 | $0.250 | $658.02 | +$421.32 |
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? | No | 802.7 | $0.690 | $469.58 | -$84.28 |
Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026? | No | 499.34 | $0.635 | $459.4 | +$142.05 |
Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? | No | 577.81 | $0.739 | $459.36 | +$32.46 |
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 3.21K | $0.008 | $379.94 | +$354.89 |
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 432.15 | $0.175 | $356.52 | +$280.65 |
Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 1.03K | $0.667 | $303.34 | -$382.6 |
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 1.17K | $0.326 | $286.4 | -$94.62 |
Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027? | No | 288.5 | $0.940 | $281.43 | +$10.24 |
| buy |
| 30 |
| $0.890 |
| $26.7 |
| Jul 23, 2026 |
US recession by end of 2026?No | buy | 15.44 | $0.890 | $13.74 | Jul 23, 2026 |
US recession by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 150.18 | $0.140 | $21.03 | Jul 23, 2026 |
US recession by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 56.9 | $0.124 | $7.08 | Jul 23, 2026 |
China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 1.87K | $0.880 | $1.64K | Jul 20, 2026 |
China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 5K | $0.890 | $4.45K | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 305.87 | $0.942 | $288.13 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 20.93K | $0.001 | $20.93 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.061 | $305 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 131.14 | $0.949 | $124.45 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Solana Up or Down on July 18?Down | buy | 5 | $0.430 | $2.15 | Jul 18, 2026 |
Solana Up or Down on July 12?Up | buy | 343.01 | $0.033 | $11.32 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Will Greg Stanton be the AZ-04 Democratic nominee?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.820 | $164 | Jul 9, 2026 |
Will Greg Stanton be the AZ-04 Democratic nominee?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.820 | $82 | Jul 9, 2026 |
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.113 | $112.5 | Jul 9, 2026 |
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.113 | $112.5 | Jul 9, 2026 |
Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 capital expenditures be above $46B?No | buy | 188.23 | $0.450 | $84.7 | Jul 9, 2026 |
Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 capital expenditures be above $43B?Yes | buy | 143 | $0.596 | $85.23 | Jul 9, 2026 |
Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 capital expenditures be above $43B?Yes | buy | 104 | $0.488 | $50.77 | Jul 9, 2026 |
Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 capital expenditures be above $49B?No | buy | 20 | $0.570 | $11.4 | Jul 9, 2026 |
Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 YouTube ads revenue be above $11B?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.270 | $5.4 | Jul 9, 2026 |
Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 YouTube ads revenue be above $11B?Yes | buy | 131 | $0.260 | $34.06 | Jul 9, 2026 |
Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 YouTube ads revenue be above $10.6B?Yes | buy | 58.7 | $0.627 | $36.79 | Jul 9, 2026 |
Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 YouTube ads revenue be above $10.8B?No | buy | 63 | $0.440 | $27.72 | Jul 9, 2026 |
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No | sell | 411.3K | $0.001 | $411.3 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No | buy | 11.67K | $0.003 | $35.01 | Jul 7, 2026 |
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on July 7?Down | buy | 40 | $0.550 | $22 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on July 7?Down | buy | 19.99 | $0.530 | $10.59 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No | buy | 141.18 | $0.760 | $107.3 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes | sell | 1.11K | $0.200 | $222.2 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes | sell | 783.42 | $0.350 | $274.2 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes | sell | 554.99 | $0.420 | $233.1 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes | buy | 1.36K | $0.300 | $407.03 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.176 | $8.8 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?Yes | buy | 117.15 | $0.130 | $15.23 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.872 | $43.6 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?No | buy | 31.27 | $0.880 | $27.52 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on July 6?Up | buy | 5 | $0.710 | $3.55 | Jul 6, 2026 |
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on July 6?Down | buy | 200 | $0.280 | $56 | Jul 5, 2026 |
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on July 6?Down | buy | 40 | $0.280 | $11.2 | Jul 5, 2026 |
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group CXLG Gaming | buy | 1.87K | $0.270 | $504.9 | Jul 5, 2026 |
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?Yes | buy | 858.82 | $0.060 | $51.53 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.060 | $60 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.06K | $0.012 | $12.7 | Jul 3, 2026 |
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on July 6?Up | buy | 1.4 | $0.530 | $0.74 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on July 6?Up | buy | 119.99 | $0.550 | $65.99 | Jul 3, 2026 |
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 6?Up | buy | 200 | $0.610 | $122 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 4.53K | $0.170 | $769.93 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 2.64K | $0.056 | $147.67 | Jul 2, 2026 |