Analytics
tryingmyluckhere has made $152.83K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? | No | 13.89K | $0.706 | $10.21K | +$408.61 |
 Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? |
| Category | Realized PnL | Volume | Trades | Markets | Win rate | Position value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| uncategorized | +$48.05K | $157.94K | 726 | 325 | 24.0% | $39.42K |
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-01 07:19 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-25 18:56 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 18:56 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-01 07:19 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $286.8K and losing ones cost $87.19K across the latest 50 settled positions. 76% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $27.56K on “MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?” (No); the largest loss, $14.93K on “Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June…” (Yes).
It has traded 577 markets. Most of the volume is in uncategorized ($157.94K). Its open positions are worth $45.22K across 53 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 15.61K |
| $0.416 |
| $6.79K |
| +$290.44 |
 Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 5K | $0.770 | $4.2K | +$350.01 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 24.51K | $0.297 | $3.55K | -$3.73K |
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 5K | $0.590 | $3.22K | +$275 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 5.5K | $0.622 | $2.11K | -$1.31K |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | 5.95K | $0.274 | $1.67K | +$37.92 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? | No | 4K | $0.550 | $1.32K | -$879.99 |
| Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? | No | 1.97K | $0.519 | $1.29K | +$268.14 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | 5K | $0.660 | $1.23K | -$2.08K |
| Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? | No | 3.98K | $0.290 | $1.14K | -$19.9 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 23.8K | $0.032 | $892.62 | +$120.61 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 11.85K | $0.105 | $770.25 | -$470.24 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 58.97K | $0.042 | $766.55 | -$1.69K |
| Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? | No | 5.66K | $0.394 | $764.14 | -$1.47K |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | No | 1K | $0.625 | $629.5 | +$4.5 |
 Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | 484.77 | $0.870 | $475.07 | +$53.33 |
 Sydney Sweeney confirmed converted to Judaism in 2026? | Yes | 9.29K | $0.055 | $460 | -$48.68 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October? | Yes | 5K | $0.319 | $425 | -$1.17K |
 Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | 777.69 | $0.617 | $346.07 | -$134.14 |
 Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 338.22 | $0.260 | $325.54 | +$237.6 |
| Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 7.41K | $0.393 | $307.31 | -$2.61K |
| Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 268.55 | $0.900 | $263.59 | +$21.89 |
| Abstract FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 260 | $0.920 | $254.54 | +$15.34 |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 1.88K | $0.214 | $225.94 | -$175.31 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
