Analytics
Yes is at 1.8%, down 28 points from 30% when the market opened on 30 Jan 2026.
Across the 246 daily closes on record from 30 Jan 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (26 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 35% on 31 Jan 2026 and the lowest 1.2% on 12 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 1.4%; a month before, 13.5%. Its largest one-day move was 11 points up, to 24% on 16 Jun 2026.
It is one of 9 markets under “Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?”.
$34.26K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $30.76K, with a 1.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 441 trades, $1.09K bought Yes and $10.56K bought No; the largest was a $1.19K buy of No at 95.0¢.
The largest Yes position is sansui1 with 944 shares; the largest No position is Violet Oracle 2A73 with 1.3K. Ten wallets hold 67.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 8:37 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 246 points, 30 Jan 2026 – 27 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jan 2026 | 30.0% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 1.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Violet Oracle 2A73 | No | 1.26K |
| sansui1 | Yes | 943.69 |
| mrmo00n | No | 585.11 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Abstract's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Abstract doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/abstract-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| zisone |
| No |
| 527 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 439.37 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 339.13 |
| spacerr | Yes | 300 |
| shomeyourbody | No | 276.11 |
| tryingmyluckhere | No | 268.55 |
| ThirdEstate | Yes | 257.92 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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