Latest trade
Feb 18, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 10:40 AM UTC.
Analytics
ThirdEstate is down $45.36 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Not enough settled positions to split gains from losses.
Profit and volume as of 2026-02-18 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Feb 18, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 10:40 AM UTC.
$56.62 median trade
Its latest 12 trades covered 8 markets; 91.7% were buys. They run from Jan 30, 2026 UTC to Feb 18, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 | Yes | 864.21 | $0.524 | $20.74 | -$432.5 |
| Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026Yes | buy | 186 | $0.340 | $63.24 | Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-02-18 05:34 UTC
Polymarket public position response
6 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 10:40 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
12 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 10:40 UTC
polymarket positions
3 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-02-18 05:34 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
The largest loss was $35.36 on “MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 18 Feb 2026. It has traded 8 markets. Its open positions are worth $47.51 across 6 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 402.25 |
| $0.497 |
| $12.27 |
| -$187.73 |
| Abstract FDV above $2B one day after launch? | Yes | 342.83 | $0.146 | $7.2 | -$42.8 |
| Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 257.92 | $0.387 | $4.64 | -$95.1 |
| Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch? | Yes | 51.28 | $0.390 | $1.72 | -$18.28 |
| Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch? | Yes | 48.17 | $0.350 | $0.94 | -$15.92 |
| sell |
| 404 |
| $0.160 |
| $64.64 |
| Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
| Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 48.17 | $0.350 | $16.86 | Feb 16, 2026 UTC |
| Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 51.28 | $0.390 | $20 | Feb 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026Yes | buy | 134.37 | $0.372 | $50 | Feb 16, 2026 UTC |
 Paradex FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | Feb 16, 2026 UTC |
| Abstract FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 342.83 | $0.146 | $50 | Feb 16, 2026 UTC |
| Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 402.25 | $0.497 | $200 | Feb 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026Yes | buy | 108.33 | $0.369 | $40 | Feb 16, 2026 UTC |
| Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 257.92 | $0.387 | $99.74 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026Yes | buy | 435.51 | $0.689 | $300 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 404 | $0.248 | $100 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.