Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 46.5% on 20 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 78 daily closes on record from 20 Dec 2025 to 7 Mar 2026, the highest close was 53.5% on 21 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 7 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 21% on 20 Jan 2026. $200.73K traded over the market's life.
89 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 7, 9:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 78 points, 20 Dec 2025 – 7 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Dec 2025 | 46.5% |
| 7 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Sane-Diesel | Yes | 20K |
| kir98 | Yes | 17.22K |
| Ivory Pioneer 5D20 | Yes | 5K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Paradex's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Paradex (https://x.com/paradex) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/paradex-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| Yes |
| 4.03K |
| polo1235 | Yes | 4.01K |
| 100xanon | Yes | 3.7K |
| oak | Yes | 3.49K |
| Low-Socks | Yes | 3.1K |
| yfalse | Yes | 2.96K |
| clawypol | Yes | 2.28K |
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