Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027? | No | 0.95 | $0.426 | $0.83 | +$0.43 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 1.69K | $0.001 | $1.69 | May 14, 2026 |
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| No |
| 0.94 |
| $0.082 |
| $0.78 |
| +$0.7 |
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 0.63 | $0.159 | $0.53 | +$0.43 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 0.44 | $0.048 | $0.41 | +$0.39 |
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | No | 0.1 | $0.090 | $0.09 | +$0.08 |
Deel IPO before 2027? | Yes | 0.82 | $0.271 | $0.04 | -$0.18 |
Ledger IPO before 2027? | Yes | 0.31 | $0.160 | $0.03 | -$0.02 |
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Yes | 0.81 | $0.100 | $0.03 | -$0.05 |
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.14 | $0.550 | $0.03 | -$0.05 |
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? | Yes | 0.86 | $0.097 | $0.02 | -$0.07 |
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? | No | 0.18 | $0.370 | $0.02 | -$0.05 |
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 0.58 | $0.042 | $0.01 | -$0.01 |
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | Yes | 0.38 | $0.103 | $0.01 | -$0.03 |
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0.4 | $0.036 | $0.01 | -$0.01 |
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 0.13 | $0.043 | $0 | -$0 |
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.14 | $0.200 | $0 | -$0.03 |
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0.66 | $0.021 | $0 | -$0.01 |
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0.14 | $0.011 | $0 | -$0 |
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 0.31 | $0.090 | $0 | -$0.03 |
| sell |
| 1 |
| $0.210 |
| $0.21 |
| May 6, 2026 |
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.130 | $0.13 | May 6, 2026 |
Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.080 | $0.08 | May 6, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?No | sell | 1 | $0.750 | $0.75 | May 6, 2026 |
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.016 | $0.02 | May 6, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.110 | $0.11 | May 6, 2026 |
Stripe IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.060 | $0.06 | May 6, 2026 |
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.001 | $0 | May 6, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.008 | $0.01 | May 6, 2026 |
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.155 | $0.16 | May 6, 2026 |
Will BP be acquired before 2027?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.190 | $0.19 | May 6, 2026 |
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.024 | $0.02 | May 6, 2026 |
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.002 | $0 | May 6, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.420 | $0.42 | May 6, 2026 |
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.015 | $0.02 | May 6, 2026 |
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.210 | $0.21 | May 6, 2026 |
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.009 | $0.01 | May 6, 2026 |
Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.311 | $0.31 | May 6, 2026 |
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 1 | $0.751 | $0.75 | May 6, 2026 |
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 1 | $0.729 | $0.73 | May 6, 2026 |
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.004 | $0 | May 6, 2026 |
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.150 | $0.15 | May 6, 2026 |
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.019 | $0.02 | May 6, 2026 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.330 | $0.33 | May 6, 2026 |
Will Carlos Alcaraz win a calendar Grand Slam in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.02 | $0.001 | $0 | May 6, 2026 |
Discord IPO before 2027?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.372 | $0.38 | May 6, 2026 |
Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 1.02 | $0.121 | $0.12 | May 6, 2026 |
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?Yes | sell | 1.04 | $0.150 | $0.16 | May 6, 2026 |
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.055 | $0.06 | May 6, 2026 |
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?No | sell | 1.1 | $0.040 | $0.04 | May 6, 2026 |
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.983 | $1.1 | May 6, 2026 |
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.15 | $0.180 | $0.21 | May 6, 2026 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.15 | $0.230 | $0.26 | May 6, 2026 |
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.17 | $0.150 | $0.18 | May 6, 2026 |
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes | sell | 1.17 | $0.150 | $0.18 | May 6, 2026 |
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.18 | $0.320 | $0.38 | May 6, 2026 |
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?Yes | sell | 1.18 | $0.233 | $0.27 | May 6, 2026 |
Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?No | sell | 1.22 | $0.013 | $0.02 | May 6, 2026 |
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?Yes | sell | 1.26 | $0.014 | $0.02 | May 6, 2026 |
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 1.26 | $0.057 | $0.07 | May 6, 2026 |
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.37 | $0.028 | $0.04 | May 6, 2026 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 1.38 | $0.400 | $0.55 | May 6, 2026 |
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.38 | $0.050 | $0.07 | May 6, 2026 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 1.42 | $0.021 | $0.03 | May 6, 2026 |
Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?Yes | sell | 1.43 | $0.016 | $0.02 | May 6, 2026 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 1.44 | $0.615 | $0.89 | May 6, 2026 |
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 1.45 | $0.007 | $0.01 | May 6, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.52 | $0.530 | $0.81 | May 6, 2026 |
Cerebras IPO before 2027?No | sell | 1.52 | $0.003 | $0 | May 6, 2026 |