Analytics
ThirdEstate is down $45.36 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Not enough settled positions to split gains from losses.
Profit and volume as of 2026-02-18 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 | Yes | 864.21 | $0.524 | $20.74 | -$432.5 |
| Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-02-18 05:34 UTC
Polymarket public position response
6 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 16:03 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-27 16:03 UTC
polymarket positions
3 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-02-18 05:34 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
The largest loss was $35.36 on “MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?” (Yes).
It has traded 8 markets. Its open positions are worth $46.15 across 6 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 402.25 |
| $0.497 |
| $10.86 |
| -$189.14 |
| Abstract FDV above $2B one day after launch? | Yes | 342.83 | $0.146 | $7.2 | -$42.8 |
| Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 257.92 | $0.387 | $4.64 | -$95.1 |
| Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch? | Yes | 51.28 | $0.390 | $1.72 | -$18.28 |
| Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch? | Yes | 48.17 | $0.350 | $0.99 | -$15.87 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
