Analytics
Yes is at 1.7%, down 85 points from 86.5% when the market opened on 30 Jan 2026.
Across the 240 daily closes on record from 30 Jan 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (28 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 91.5% on 1 Feb 2026 and the lowest 1.7% on 24 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 2.9%; a month before, 38.5%. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 6.7% on 7 Oct 2026.
It is one of 9 markets under “Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?”.
$255.95 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $140.57K since listing. The order book holds $21.84K, with a 0.8% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $1.91K bought Yes and $11.63K bought No.
The largest Yes position is LornaPredicts with 1.2K shares; the largest No position is zisone with 2.2K. Ten wallets hold 57.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 11:10 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 240 points, 30 Jan 2026 – 24 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jan 2026 | 86.5% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 1.7% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| zisone | No | 2.18K |
| dodged-a-bullet | No | 1.23K |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 1.2K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Abstract's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Abstract doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/abstract-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| tradexplorer |
| No |
| 1K |
| greenrooibos | Yes | 999.99 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 752.05 |
| Iltubabbo63 | No | 685.03 |
| Methaslegs | Yes | 543.97 |
| qqqmmmccc | No | 489.95 |
| hithitfar | Yes | 475.94 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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