Analytics
Yes is at 2.9%, down 2.1 points from 5% when the market opened on 30 Jan 2026.
Across the 256 daily closes on record from 30 Jan 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (16 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 28.4% on 16 Jun 2026 and the lowest 1.2% on 7 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 2.5%; a month before, 7.5%. Its largest one-day move was 22 points up, to 28.4% on 16 Jun 2026.
It is one of 9 markets under “Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?”.
$14.25K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $53.68K, with a 1.6% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 185 trades, $67.44 bought Yes and $8.45K bought No; the largest was a $1.26K buy of No at 98.0¢.
The largest Yes position is LornaPredicts with 664 shares; the largest No position is Violet Oracle 2A73 with 720. Ten wallets hold 84.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 11:12 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 256 points, 30 Jan 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jan 2026 | 5.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 2.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Violet Oracle 2A73 | No | 719.65 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 664 |
| jade. | No | 450 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Abstract's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Abstract doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/abstract-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| SuSuDORIS |
| Yes |
| 200 |
| balthazar | Yes | 198.07 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 168.11 |
| BigHC | No | 153.91 |
| emilianrus | Yes | 133.66 |
| Quiet Beacon 7EAB | Yes | 99.85 |
| linea60111 | No | 78.85 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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