Analytics
Yes is at 30%, down 21 points from 51% when the market opened on 11 Dec 2025.
Across the 299 daily closes on record from 11 Dec 2025 to 27 Oct 2026 (22 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 80.5% on 10 Jan 2026 and the lowest 28.5% on 26 Mar 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 39%; a month before, 44.5%. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 54.5% on 19 Feb 2026.
It is one of 7 markets under “Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?”.
$2.66K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.55M since listing. The order book holds $23.63K, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $6.22K bought Yes and $49.16K bought No; the largest was a $7.09K buy of No at 63.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Lecsoman with 139.6K shares; the largest No position is fleeth with 60K. Ten wallets hold 70.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 8:21 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 299 points, 11 Dec 2025 – 27 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Dec 2025 | 51.0% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 31.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lecsoman | Yes | 139.64K |
| fleeth | No | 60K |
| norbeszbete1 | Yes | 47.27K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Extended's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Extended (https://x.com/extendedapp) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/extended-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| insiderrzzz |
| No |
| 47.01K |
| slyfox123 | No | 41.91K |
| sharrdio | No | 21.89K |
| KishoAriiii | No | 18.9K |
| purplegatto | No | 16.88K |
| Arkgetsu | No | 15.67K |
| keasiyo | Yes | 15.08K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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