Analytics
Yes is at 2.2%, down 5.3 points from 7.5% when the market opened on 28 Nov 2025.
Across the 303 daily closes on record from 28 Nov 2025 to 23 Oct 2026 (28 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 12% on 22 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.9% on 5 May 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 1.8%; a month before, 1.9%. Its largest one-day move was 7 points up, to 12% on 22 Dec 2025.
It is one of 7 markets under “Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?”.
$87.44 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $96.85K since listing. The order book holds $31.98K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $210.64 bought Yes and $3.99K bought No; the largest was a $1.22K sell of No at 97.7¢.
The largest Yes position is cc416 with 1.3K shares; the largest No position is flameron with 1.9K. Ten wallets hold 61.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 70 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 5:22 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 303 points, 28 Nov 2025 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Nov 2025 | 7.5% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 2.2% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| flameron | No | 1.94K |
| cc416 | Yes | 1.34K |
| Shirohige77 | No | 1.33K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Extended's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Extended (https://x.com/extendedapp) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/extended-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| Kl1023yx |
| Yes |
| 1.32K |
| MegaKong | Yes | 1.07K |
| Unequaled-Charset | No | 1.03K |
| freedomjijin | Yes | 700 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 500 |
| sfsgdtd | No | 490.13 |
| Laurenman | No | 487.28 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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