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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 2.5K | $0.962 | $2.4K | -$3.75 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 300 | $0.999 | $299.7 | 3d ago |
 |
| No |
| 2.4K |
| $0.930 |
| $2.24K |
| +$12 |
 Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 1.94K | $0.978 | $1.91K | +$10.25 |
| Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? | Yes | 452.25 | $0.841 | $336.02 | -$44.3 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 354.21 | $0.887 | $259.99 | -$54.34 |
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 105.52 | $0.546 | $45.9 | -$11.68 |
 Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | No | 3.78 | $0.820 | $3.7 | +$0.6 |
| Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | No | 1.44 | $0.699 | $1.26 | +$0.25 |
| sell |
| 40 |
| $0.889 |
| $35.56 |
| 14d ago |
| Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid?Yes | sell | 320 | $0.889 | $284.48 | 14d ago |
| Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid?Yes | sell | 157.5 | $0.889 | $140.02 | 14d ago |
| Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.854 | $25.62 | 14d ago |
| Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid?Yes | sell | 230 | $0.856 | $196.88 | 14d ago |
| Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.857 | $17.14 | 14d ago |
| Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid?Yes | sell | 18.01 | $0.870 | $15.67 | 14d ago |
| Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.871 | $13.07 | 14d ago |
| Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.858 | $25.74 | 14d ago |
| Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid?Yes | sell | 17 | $0.859 | $14.6 | 14d ago |
| Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid?Yes | sell | 5.96 | $0.861 | $5.13 | 14d ago |
| Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid?Yes | sell | 17 | $0.867 | $14.74 | 14d ago |
| Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.859 | $51.54 | 14d ago |
| Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid?Yes | sell | 17 | $0.873 | $14.84 | 14d ago |
| Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid?Yes | sell | 3.02 | $0.942 | $2.84 | 14d ago |
| Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid?Yes | sell | 17 | $0.942 | $16.01 | 14d ago |
| Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?Yes | sell | 525.61 | $0.663 | $348.51 | 18d ago |
| Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.860 | $111.8 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 250 | $0.760 | $190 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 56.33 | $0.850 | $47.88 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.3K | $0.911 | $2.09K | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 852.51 | $0.999 | $851.66 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.770 | $77 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?No | sell | 60 | $0.910 | $54.6 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?No | sell | 250 | $0.910 | $227.5 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 1.15K | $0.878 | $1.01K | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 400.2 | $0.780 | $312.16 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.784 | $784.07 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 1.17K | $0.975 | $1.15K | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.3K | $0.943 | $1.23K | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?No | sell | 1K | $0.907 | $907.04 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 499.99 | $0.760 | $380.03 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 1.5K | $0.850 | $1.28K | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 999.99 | $0.850 | $849.99 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 800 | $0.890 | $712 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 550 | $0.890 | $489.5 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Paul Seixas win the 2026 Tour De France?No | sell | 940 | $0.985 | $925.9 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Paul Seixas win the 2026 Tour De France?No | buy | 940 | $0.980 | $921.2 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 2K | $0.920 | $1.84K | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 625 | $0.850 | $531.25 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 625 | $0.850 | $531.25 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 4K | $0.770 | $3.08K | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 2.03K | $0.810 | $1.65K | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 175.21 | $0.964 | $168.9 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 74 | $0.959 | $70.97 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 1.2K | $0.953 | $1.14K | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 819.07 | $0.920 | $753.54 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No | sell | 1K | $0.930 | $930.4 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.12K | $0.840 | $944.28 | Jun 26, 2026 |