Analytics
Yes is at 6%, down 28 points from 33.5% when the market opened on 28 Nov 2025.
Across the 301 daily closes on record from 28 Nov 2025 to 28 Oct 2026 (35 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 36% on 13 Jan 2026 and the lowest 5.5% on 27 Mar 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 11%; a month before, 12.5%. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 23.5% on 3 Dec 2025.
It is one of 7 markets under “Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?”.
$271.12K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $26.45K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $2.49K bought Yes and $34.11K bought No; the largest was a $4.97K buy of No at 89.3¢.
The largest Yes position is Kl1023yx with 38.1K shares; the largest No position is fleeth with 25K. Ten wallets hold 74.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 3:18 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 301 points, 28 Nov 2025 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Nov 2025 | 33.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 6.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Kl1023yx | Yes | 38.05K |
| fleeth | No | 25K |
| Neon Signal B49B | Yes | 19.19K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Extended's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Extended (https://x.com/extendedapp) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/extended-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| Masol |
| No |
| 10.22K |
| tradexplorer | No | 10.21K |
| Misty Oracle A386 | Yes | 8.99K |
| realtimy | No | 5.92K |
| Sylvertrades | No | 5.57K |
| ToldYouSo10 | No | 3.97K |
| trade2026dream | No | 3.5K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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