Analytics
Yes is at 73%, down 5.5 points from 78.5% when the market opened on 17 Feb 2026.
Across the 236 daily closes on record from 17 Feb 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (15 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 84.5% on 26 Feb 2026 and the lowest 45% on 23 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 65.5%; a month before, 75.5%. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 45% on 23 Aug 2026.
It is one of 7 markets under “Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?”.
$10.09K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $669.28K since listing. The order book holds $36.11K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $10.51K bought Yes and $4.59K bought No; the largest was a $1.65K sell of Yes at 42.6¢.
The largest Yes position is Ivory Meteor E981 with 11.2K shares; the largest No position is Arkgetsu with 18.8K. Ten wallets hold 49.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 69 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 12:52 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 236 points, 17 Feb 2026 – 24 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Feb 2026 | 78.5% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 73.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Arkgetsu | No | 18.84K |
| slyfox123 | No | 15.1K |
| Ivory Meteor E981 | Yes | 11.2K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Extended's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Extended (https://x.com/extendedapp) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/extended-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| 333777 |
| Yes |
| 9.98K |
| MegaKong | Yes | 7.31K |
| hsefhsjdkfs | No | 7.2K |
| KishoAriiii | No | 5.96K |
| purplegatto | No | 5.74K |
| AGREEEE | Yes | 5.5K |
| LighterMaxi | Yes | 5K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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