Analytics
Yes is at 13.5%, down 63 points from 76.5% when the market opened on 28 Nov 2025.
Across the 302 daily closes on record from 28 Nov 2025 to 28 Oct 2026 (33 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 76.5% on 28 Nov 2025 and the lowest 12.5% on 15 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 18.5%; a month before, 24%. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 49.5% on 29 Nov 2025.
It is one of 7 markets under “Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?”.
$521.26 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.21M since listing. The order book holds $31.52K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $6.48K bought Yes and $22.34K bought No; the largest was a $10.89K sell of Yes at 19.8¢.
The largest Yes position is Lecsoman with 95.2K shares; the largest No position is fleeth with 80K. Ten wallets hold 77.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 11:00 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 302 points, 28 Nov 2025 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Nov 2025 | 76.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 13.5% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Extended's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Extended (https://x.com/extendedapp) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/extended-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| norbeszbete1 |
| Yes |
| 43.25K |
| ToldYouSo10 | No | 42.44K |
| NeverYES | No | 40.27K |
| X10DED | No | 36.99K |
| Masol | No | 18.57K |
| zuzuw | Yes | 8.7K |
| KishoAriiii | No | 8.37K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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