Analytics
Yes is at 72.5%, up 41 points from 31.5% when the market opened on 13 Dec 2025.
Across the 296 daily closes on record from 13 Dec 2025 to 28 Oct 2026 (25 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 82.5% on 24 Sep 2026 and the lowest 9% on 24 Mar 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 72%; a month before, 70.5%. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 44% on 14 Dec 2025.
It is one of 10 markets under “Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?”.
$522.5K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $54.71K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $35.88K bought Yes and $19.83K bought No; the largest was a $8.06K buy of Yes at 78.0¢.
The largest Yes position is opopopopop with 20.3K shares; the largest No position is tradexplorer with 26.9K. Ten wallets hold 47.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 2:18 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 296 points, 13 Dec 2025 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2025 | 31.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 72.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| tradexplorer | No | 26.85K |
| AllByMyseIf | No | 25.44K |
| opopopopop | Yes | 20.28K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/variational-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| manekineko |
| Yes |
| 18K |
| Hilarious-Lot | No | 13.09K |
| ASteroide | Yes | 12.02K |
| Manmansumout | No | 12K |
| Premarbet618 | No | 11.76K |
| altsaredead | Yes | 11.3K |
| madril | No | 9.38K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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