Analytics
Yes is at 94.8%, up 35 points from 59.5% when the market opened on 9 Apr 2026.
Across the 188 daily closes on record from 9 Apr 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (15 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 98.5% on 16 Sep 2026 and the lowest 59.5% on 9 Apr 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 98.1%; a month before, 98.1%. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 79.2% on 10 Aug 2026.
It is one of 10 markets under “Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?”.
$79.54K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $23.33K, with a 2.3% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $16.62K bought Yes and $863.37 bought No; the largest was a $3.37K buy of Yes at 95.0¢.
The largest Yes position is greenrooibos with 9.3K shares; the largest No position is VARBeliever with 9.6K. Ten wallets hold 70.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 7:35 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 188 points, 9 Apr 2026 – 27 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Apr 2026 | 59.5% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 94.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| VARBeliever | No | 9.56K |
| greenrooibos | Yes | 9.3K |
| kukasistaken | Yes | 3.55K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/variational-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| AllByMyseIf |
| No |
| 3.11K |
| nononononono | No | 2.67K |
| balthazar | No | 2.62K |
| fleeth | Yes | 2K |
| ldlc38 | No | 1.6K |
| Same-Inglenook | Yes | 1.37K |
| XLMM | No | 1.22K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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