Analytics
Paper trading
Yes is at 4.5%, down 4.5 points from 9% when the market opened on 13 Dec 2025.
The high was 9% on 13 Dec 2025 and the low 0.3% on 4 Mar 2026. A week ago Yes was at 4.6%; a month ago, 4.2%.
It is one of 10 markets under “Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?”.
$557.26 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $98.14K since listing. The order book holds $47.19K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $591.44 bought Yes and $10.05K bought No; the largest was a $1.2K buy of No at 93.1¢.
The largest Yes position is nillion with 3.5K shares; the largest No position is PeggyGou with 2.1K. Ten wallets hold 56.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 14, 5:57 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 303 points, 13 Dec 2025 – 14 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2025 | 9.0% |
| 14 Oct 2026 | 4.5% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/variational-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| PeggyGou |
| No |
| 2.13K |
| 0xnicccc | Yes | 1.79K |
| TPAA | No | 1.29K |
| rocky42006 | Yes | 1.23K |
| yomter | Yes | 1.01K |
| mikecoin1 | No | 1K |
| VARIATIONALGENERATIONAL | Yes | 963.17 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page