Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 1.25K | $0.172 | $1.03K | +$815.33 |
 Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $75B and $100B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 53 | $0.062 | $3.29 | 5h ago |
 |
| No |
| 990.14 |
| $0.246 |
| $292.09 |
| +$48.8 |
 Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 27% and 30% of all valid votes? | No | 489.34 | $0.488 | $276.48 | +$37.5 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 299.69 | $0.739 | $223.27 | +$1.8 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on September 9? | No | 192.68 | $0.543 | $192.58 | +$87.95 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 175.81 | $0.950 | $169.92 | +$2.91 |
 Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August? | Yes | 360.85 | $0.426 | $164.19 | +$10.42 |
 Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | No | 312 | $0.490 | $145.08 | -$7.8 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 129.52 | $0.960 | $125.44 | +$1.11 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? | Yes | 300 | $0.199 | $112.5 | +$52.7 |
| Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes? | Yes | 289.86 | $0.310 | $105.8 | +$15.94 |
 KBO: NC Dinos vs. LG Twins | NC Dinos | 184.66 | $0.450 | $93.25 | +$10.16 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August? | Yes | 299.77 | $0.357 | $91.43 | -$15.73 |
| Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | No | 85 | $0.940 | $81.18 | +$1.28 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | Yes | 300.03 | $0.310 | $81.01 | -$12 |
| Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? | Yes | 1.23K | $0.015 | $80.48 | +$61.9 |
 Will Eno Umo Bassey win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election? | No | 270 | $0.260 | $79.65 | +$9.45 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | No | 105 | $0.760 | $77.18 | -$2.63 |
 Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent? | Yes | 826.2 | $0.120 | $74.36 | -$24.79 |
 Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%? | No | 132.94 | $0.540 | $72.45 | +$0.66 |
 Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? | No | 114.1 | $0.445 | $67.89 | +$17.13 |
| Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? | Yes | 570 | $0.022 | $64.13 | +$51.59 |
| Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 97 | $0.640 | $60.63 | -$1.45 |
 Will Patrick Ball – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series? | No | 88.37 | $0.770 | $56.11 | -$11.93 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 81.17 | $0.489 | $49.51 | +$9.81 |
| sell |
| 10 |
| $0.380 |
| $3.8 |
| 14h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on September 9?No | sell | 23 | $0.380 | $8.74 | 14h ago |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $75B and $100B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 45 | $0.062 | $2.79 | 19h ago |
 Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-09-08?Yes | sell | 73 | $0.400 | $29.2 | 1d ago |
 Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.450 | $9 | 1d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 7?No | sell | 8 | $0.510 | $4.08 | 2d ago |
 Will Chung Tung-chin win the next Miaoli County Magistrate election?No | sell | 10 | $0.060 | $0.6 | 3d ago |
| Will Chung Tung-chin win the next Miaoli County Magistrate election?No | sell | 65 | $0.091 | $5.92 | 4d ago |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.952 | $4.76 | 5d ago |
 No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 45 | $0.770 | $34.65 | 6d ago |
 New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5Under | sell | 153 | $0.470 | $71.91 | 6d ago |
 Counter-Strike: magic vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier PlayoffsNuclear TigeRES | sell | 15 | $0.400 | $6 | 7d ago |
| Counter-Strike: K27 vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group StageNuclear TigeRES | sell | 140 | $0.540 | $75.6 | 10d ago |
 Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?No | sell | 76 | $0.878 | $66.73 | 10d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 28?No | sell | 9 | $0.450 | $4.05 | 12d ago |
 Will Zelenskyy post 180-199 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 24 | $0.576 | $13.82 | 14d ago |
| Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-25?No | sell | 173 | $0.440 | $76.12 | 15d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 24?No | sell | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | 16d ago |
| Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.720 | $21.6 | 17d ago |
 Will Marcus Rashford stay at Manchester United?No | sell | 20 | $0.105 | $2.1 | 19d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on August 22?No | sell | 12 | $0.480 | $5.76 | 19d ago |
 S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on August 21?No | buy | 100 | $0.340 | $34 | 19d ago |
 FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: Both Teams to ScoreNo | sell | 10 | $0.450 | $4.5 | 19d ago |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be greater than $100B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.052 | $2.6 | 20d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 20?No | sell | 43 | $0.470 | $20.21 | 20d ago |
 NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?No | buy | 90.9 | $0.060 | $5.45 | 20d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 19?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.520 | $26 | 21d ago |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?No | sell | 34 | $0.140 | $4.76 | 21d ago |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?No | sell | 116 | $0.140 | $16.24 | 21d ago |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?No | sell | 116 | $0.140 | $16.24 | 21d ago |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?No | sell | 116 | $0.140 | $16.24 | 21d ago |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?No | sell | 116 | $0.140 | $16.24 | 21d ago |
 Will AL Ahly SC (EGY) win on 2026-08-19?No | sell | 44 | $0.948 | $41.71 | 21d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 19?No | sell | 8 | $0.480 | $3.84 | 21d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 19?No | sell | 15 | $0.460 | $6.9 | 21d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 19?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.280 | $5.6 | 21d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 19?No | sell | 10 | $0.390 | $3.9 | 21d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 19?No | sell | 5 | $0.550 | $2.75 | 21d ago |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?No | sell | 30 | $0.903 | $27.09 | 21d ago |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?No | sell | 41 | $0.100 | $4.1 | 21d ago |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?No | sell | 28 | $0.081 | $2.27 | 22d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 19?No | sell | 12 | $0.510 | $6.12 | 22d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 20?No | buy | 42 | $0.430 | $18.06 | 22d ago |
| Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs Vexar (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stageex-Zero Tenacity | sell | 26 | $0.450 | $11.7 | 22d ago |
| Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs Vexar (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group StageVexar | buy | 73 | $0.470 | $34.31 | 22d ago |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?No | sell | 30 | $0.078 | $2.34 | 22d ago |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?No | sell | 16 | $0.079 | $1.26 | 22d ago |
 Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-08-16?No | sell | 41 | $0.520 | $21.32 | 23d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 15?No | sell | 14.86 | $0.010 | $0.15 | 24d ago |