Analytics
Yes is at 35.5%, up 10 points from 25.5% when the market opened on 10 Sep 2026.
The high was 43.5% on 15 Sep 2026 and the low 16% on 18 Sep 2026. A week ago Yes was at 34.5%; a month ago, 26.5%. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 26.5% on 16 Sep 2026.
Spain is the favourite of the 13 outcomes in “UEFA Nations League Winner 2026-27”, ahead of France at 20.5%.
$1.39K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $23.54K since listing. The order book holds $50.9K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 450 trades, $5.28K bought Yes and $3.84K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Carefree-Login with 1.4K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 10.4K. Ten wallets hold 68.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 14 Jun 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 11, 6:00 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 31 points · 10 Sep 2026 – 11 Oct 2026 · axis zoomed to 10%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Sep 2026 | 25.5% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | 35.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 10.38K |
| Carefree-Login | Yes | 1.45K |
| StudyPrediction | No | 1.43K |
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League is cancelled, postponed after June 13, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uefa-nations-league-winner-2026-27
1 more outcome, none above 0.1%.
| fishcolor | Yes | 1.37K |
| zzqq35 | Yes | 1.12K |
| Hyperlong | Yes | 1.05K |
| vaporfer | Yes | 1K |
| Fistboy | Yes | 910.74 |
| Sardonic-Mimosa | Yes | 734.24 |
| Snoopy121 | Yes | 602.94 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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