Analytics
Yes is at 1.1%, down 24 points from 25.5% when the market opened on 10 Sep 2026.
The high was 30.5% on 15 Sep 2026 and the low 0.9% on 7 Oct 2026. A week ago Yes was at 2.9%; a month ago, 25.5%. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 18.5% on 16 Sep 2026.
Norway ranks tenth of the 13 outcomes in “UEFA Nations League Winner 2026-27”. Spain leads at 35.5%; France is at 20.5%.
$12.17K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $25.07K, with a 1.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 203 trades, $126.28 bought Yes and $6.39K bought No; the largest was a $1.07K buy of No at 97.2¢.
The largest Yes position is leegunner with 3.4K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 10.4K. Ten wallets hold 95.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 14 Jun 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 11, 6:49 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 33 points · 10 Sep 2026 – 11 Oct 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Sep 2026 | 25.5% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | 1.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 10.38K |
| leegunner | Yes | 3.43K |
| vaporfer | Yes | 2.16K |
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League is cancelled, postponed after June 13, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uefa-nations-league-winner-2026-27
1 more outcome, none above 0.1%.
| Thysten234 |
| Yes |
| 1.19K |
| zzqq35 | Yes | 574.58 |
| planktonXD | Yes | 533.6 |
| bigbet3 | Yes | 444.35 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 422.39 |
| TimeTraveler | Yes | 346.16 |
| Guyver | Yes | 313.18 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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